Do you remember all those years when scientists argued that smoking
would kill us but the doubters insisted that we didn't know for sure?
That the evidence was inconclusive, the science uncertain? That the
antismoking lobby was out to destroy our way of life and the government
should stay out of the way? Lots of Americans bought that nonsense, and
over three decades, some 10 million smokers went to early graves.
There are upsetting parallels today, as scientists in one wave after
another try to awaken us to the growing threat of global warming. The
latest was a panel from the National Academy of Sciences, enlisted by
the White House, to tell us that the Earth's atmosphere is definitely
warming and that the problem is largely man-made. The clear message is
that we should get moving to protect ourselves. The president of the
National Academy, Bruce Alberts, added this key point in the preface to
the panel's report: “Science never has all the answers. But science does
provide us with the best available guide to the future, and it is
critical that our nation and the world base important policies on the
best judgments that science can provide concerning the future
consequences of present actions.”
Just as on smoking, voices
now come from many quarters insisting that the science about global
warming is incomplete, that it's OK to keep pouring fumes into the air
until we know for sure. This is a dangerous game: by the time 100
percent of the evidence is in, it may be too late. With the risks
obvious and growing, a prudent people would take out an insurance policy
now.
Fortunately, the White House is starting to pay
attention. But it's obvious that a majority of the president's advisers
still don't take global warming seriously. Instead of a plan of action,
they continue to press for more research -- a classic case of “paralysis
by analysis.”
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